La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex de Minaur v Toby Samuel
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Predicción 85.98%1.16momio equitativo
EV -3.70%
Ventaja -3.30%
Kelly -30.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
83.70%86.31%85.53%89.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Toby Samuel (Visitante)
Predicción 14.02%7.13momio equitativo
EV +33.18%
Ventaja +3.49%
Kelly +3.90%
Crecimiento +1.30%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.04%13.69%14.47%16.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.607.076.509.5017.86%14.14%15.38%10.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.59%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 9.29I 10.76%NM 10.41%EV +30.24%E +3.25%K +3.65%G +1.10% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +28.98%E +3.15%K +3.53%G +1.02% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +27.57%E +3.03%K +3.40%G +0.939% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +21.97%E +2.52%K +2.85%G +0.627% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.69%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 8.63I 11.59%NM 11.31%EV +20.99%E +2.43%K +2.75%G +0.577% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.75%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.44I 11.85%NM 11.25%EV +18.32%E +2.17%K +2.46%G +0.451% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +17.76%E +2.11%K +2.40%G +0.426% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +12.29%E +1.53%K +1.75%G +0.216% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:11 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| Everygame | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:07 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +8.65%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.111% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| TABtouch | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Casumo | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV -4.81%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fliff | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -14.48%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -18.69%E -3.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -21.49%E -3.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.25% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.75% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |