مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex de Minaur v Toby Samuel

البداية: 2026-05-25 10:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex de Minaur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 85.98%1.16السعر العادل
EV -3.70%
الأفضلية -3.30%
Kelly -30.85%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.12

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
83.70%86.31%85.53%89.96%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Toby Samuel (الضيف)

التنبؤ 14.02%7.13السعر العادل
EV +33.18%
الأفضلية +3.49%
Kelly +3.90%
النمو +1.30%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 9.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
10.04%13.69%14.47%16.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.607.076.509.5017.86%14.14%15.38%10.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Bet Right1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30%4.9%2026-05-25 09:10
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30%4.9%2026-05-25 09:08
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 89.59%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%9.29I 10.76%NM 10.41%EV +30.24%E +3.25%K +3.65%G +1.10%3.4%2026-05-25 09:10
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +28.98%E +3.15%K +3.53%G +1.02%4.3%2026-05-25 08:59
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +27.57%E +3.03%K +3.40%G +0.939%5.3%2026-05-25 08:59
MyBookie.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +21.97%E +2.52%K +2.85%G +0.627%5.0%2026-05-25 09:01
GTbets1.10I 90.91%NM 88.69%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%8.63I 11.59%NM 11.31%EV +20.99%E +2.43%K +2.75%G +0.577%2.5%2026-05-25 08:59
Betr (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490%6.1%2026-05-25 09:10
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490%6.1%2026-05-25 09:00
BetAnything1.07I 93.46%NM 88.75%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.44I 11.85%NM 11.25%EV +18.32%E +2.17%K +2.46%G +0.451%5.3%2026-05-25 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +17.76%E +2.11%K +2.40%G +0.426%5.4%2026-05-25 09:10
LowVig.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254%4.1%2026-05-25 09:09
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254%4.1%2026-05-25 09:09
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +12.29%E +1.53%K +1.75%G +0.216%5.1%2026-05-25 09:11
William Hill1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:06
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 08:58
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:07
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211%6.0%2026-05-25 09:06
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +8.65%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.111%5.5%2026-05-25 09:09
BetRivers1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
TABtouch1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
Casumo1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 08:58
FanDuel1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041%5.1%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Paddy Power1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV -4.81%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:18
Coolbet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Hard Rock Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:19
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-25 09:20
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:19
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 09:20
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betsson1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Fliff1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -14.48%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Virgin Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
Bet Victor1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:19
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 09:20
Winamax (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 09:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -18.69%E -3.22%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
PointsBet (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 09:20
PMU (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -21.49%E -3.84%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-25 09:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-05-25 09:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-05-25 09:20
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 88.25%8.26I 12.11%NM 11.75%3.0%2026-05-25 09:20