L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex de Minaur v Toby Samuel
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Prévision 85.98%1.16cote équitable
EV -3.70%
Avantage -3.30%
Kelly -30.85%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.12
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.70%86.31%85.53%89.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.091.091.1294.34%91.67%91.74%89.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Toby Samuel (Visiteur)
Prévision 14.02%7.13cote équitable
EV +33.18%
Avantage +3.49%
Kelly +3.90%
Croissance +1.30%
avec la cote maximale 9.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.04%13.69%14.47%16.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.607.076.509.5017.86%14.14%15.38%10.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Right | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| SportsBet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +33.18%E +3.49%K +3.90%G +1.30% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| Pinnacle | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.59%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 9.29I 10.76%NM 10.41%EV +30.24%E +3.25%K +3.65%G +1.10% | 3.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.58%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.42%EV +28.98%E +3.15%K +3.53%G +1.02% | 4.3% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.43%EV +27.57%E +3.03%K +3.40%G +0.939% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.05%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.95%EV +21.97%E +2.52%K +2.85%G +0.627% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 09:01 |
| GTbets | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.69%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 8.63I 11.59%NM 11.31%EV +20.99%E +2.43%K +2.75%G +0.577% | 2.5% | 2026-05-25 08:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -8.86%E -8.36%K -147.67%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV +19.16%E +2.25%K +2.56%G +0.490% | 6.1% | 2026-05-25 09:00 |
| BetAnything | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.75%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.44I 11.85%NM 11.25%EV +18.32%E +2.17%K +2.46%G +0.451% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.70%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.40I 11.90%NM 11.30%EV +17.76%E +2.11%K +2.40%G +0.426% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.13%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 8.09I 12.36%NM 11.87%EV +13.41%E +1.66%K +1.89%G +0.254% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| 1xBet | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV +12.29%E +1.53%K +1.75%G +0.216% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:11 |
| William Hill | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| Everygame | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:07 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +12.15%E +1.52%K +1.74%G +0.211% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:06 |
| PlayUp | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.77%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.23%EV +8.65%E +1.12%K +1.28%G +0.111% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:09 |
| BetRivers | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| TABtouch | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| Casumo | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:58 |
| FanDuel | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +5.14%E +0.686%K +0.791%G +0.041% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -1.87%E -0.267%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.84%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.79I 14.73%NM 14.16%EV -4.81%E -0.708%K -0.831%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bovada | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:18 |
| Coolbet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| betPARX | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Caesars | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.88%E -1.37%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betsson | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.15%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.85%EV -12.38%E -1.98%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Fliff | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.96%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.04%EV -14.48%E -2.37%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.56%E -4.11%K -41.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.42%E -4.93%K -54.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.14%E -6.61%K -89.26%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -15.89%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.18%EV -6.28%E -5.76%K -69.79%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.82%EV -18.69%E -3.22%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -3.70%E -3.30%K -30.85%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -19.39%E -3.37%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 83.96%EV -8.00%E -7.48%K -114.29%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.04%EV -21.49%E -3.84%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44% | 9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56% | 0.7% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23% | 9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |
| Novig | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.25% | 8.26I 12.11%NM 11.75% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 09:20 |