Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur v Jakub Mensik

Início: 2026-05-29 15:55 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alex de Minaur (Local)

Previsão 78.06%1.28odd justa
EV -2.42%
Vantagem -1.94%
Kelly -9.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
75.94%77.98%78.29%80.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.58%81.97%80.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Jakub Mensik (Visitante)

Previsão 21.94%4.56odd justa
EV +5.07%
Vantagem +1.06%
Kelly +1.34%
Crescimento +0.068%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.49%22.02%21.71%24.06%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.854.364.404.7925.97%22.92%22.73%20.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alex de Minaur (Local): 78.06%; Jakub Mensik (Visitante): 21.94%. Para Jakub Mensik (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.56. 8 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.79, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +5.07%.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 79.57%EV -3.98%E -3.24%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.43%EV +5.07%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068%2.2%2026-05-29 15:50
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%5.8%2026-05-29 15:49
888sport🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-29 15:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-29 15:49
SportsBet🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-29 15:41
Codere (IT)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:43
Bovada🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Bet Right🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 15:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:50
Betway🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:50
NetBet (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
TABtouch🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
LeoVegas🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:48
Grosvenor🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
BetRivers🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:42
Unibet (NL)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Casumo🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
betPARX🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
Neds🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
BetMGM🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 15:49
Coral🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 15:50
DraftKings🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.35%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 15:48
PlayUp🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 15:50
Fliff🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
GTbets🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 15:39
Paddy Power🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 15:48
Marathon Bet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
PMU (FR)🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 15:50
BetAnything🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 15:49
Everygame🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 15:46
1xBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -9.40%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 15:49
Coolbet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.42%E -1.94%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 15:50
Fanatics🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
theScore Bet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Betsson🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:50
NordicBet🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Caesars🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:44
Bet Victor🎯1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 15:39
Betclic (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -15.55%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 15:46
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87%1.1%2026-05-29 15:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-05-29 15:50