La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alex de Minaur v Jakub Mensik
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Predicción 78.06%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -1.94%
Kelly -9.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.94%77.98%78.29%80.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.58%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jakub Mensik (Visitante)
Predicción 21.94%4.56momio equitativo
EV +5.07%
Ventaja +1.06%
Kelly +1.34%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.79
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.49%22.02%21.71%24.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.364.404.7925.97%22.92%22.73%20.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.57%EV -3.98%E -3.24%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.43%EV +5.07%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068% | 2.2% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 15:41 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:43 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:42 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.35%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 15:46 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -9.40%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.42%E -1.94%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -15.55%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 15:46 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |