L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Alex de Minaur v Jakub Mensik
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Alex de Minaur (Local)
Prévision 78.06%1.28cote équitable
EV -2.42%
Avantage -1.94%
Kelly -9.68%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.25
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.94%77.98%78.29%80.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.58%81.97%80.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Jakub Mensik (Visiteur)
Prévision 21.94%4.56cote équitable
EV +5.07%
Avantage +1.06%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.068%
avec la cote maximale 4.79
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.49%22.02%21.71%24.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.854.364.404.7925.97%22.92%22.73%20.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.57%EV -3.98%E -3.24%K -17.31%G +0.000% | 4.79I 20.88%NM 20.43%EV +5.07%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068% | 2.2% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| TAB | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| 888sport | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047% | 8.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004% | 3.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 15:41 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:43 |
| Bovada | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Bet Right | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betway | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| Grosvenor | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| BetRivers | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:42 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Casumo | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Bally Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| betPARX | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| Neds | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-29 15:47 |
| BetMGM | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Coral | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.35%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| PlayUp | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Fliff | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| GTbets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-29 15:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-29 15:48 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-29 15:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| BetAnything | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Everygame | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-29 15:46 |
| 1xBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -9.40%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Coolbet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.42%E -1.94%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Fanatics | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Betsson | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:49 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-29 15:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-29 15:39 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -15.55%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-29 15:46 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87% | 1.1% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-05-29 15:50 |