Szkoła Kursów

Alex de Minaur v Jakub Mensik

Początek: 2026-05-29 15:55 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

61 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 78.06%1.28kurs godziwy
EV -2.42%
Przewaga -1.94%
Kelly -9.68%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.25

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
75.94%77.98%78.29%80.51%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.151.211.221.2586.96%82.58%81.97%80.00%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Jakub Mensik (Goście)

Prognoza 21.94%4.56kurs godziwy
EV +5.07%
Przewaga +1.06%
Kelly +1.34%
Wzrost +0.068%

przy maksymalnym kursie 4.79

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
19.49%22.02%21.71%24.06%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.854.364.404.7925.97%22.92%22.73%20.88%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (61 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.23I 81.30%NM 79.57%EV -3.98%E -3.24%K -17.31%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.43%EV +5.07%E +1.06%K +1.34%G +0.068%2.2%2026-05-29 15:50
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%5.8%2026-05-29 15:49
888sport1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
888sport (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Mr Green (SE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -10.23%E -8.89%K -68.18%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV +4.20%E +0.884%K +1.12%G +0.047%8.0%2026-05-29 15:49
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-29 15:50
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 79.07%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.93%EV +1.13%E +0.244%K +0.312%G +0.004%3.7%2026-05-29 15:49
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV +0.907%E +0.197%K +0.252%G +0.002%5.1%2026-05-29 15:41
Codere (IT)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:43
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:50
Hard Rock Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Bet Right1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 15:49
Winamax (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:50
Betway1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:50
NetBet (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -1.29%E -0.286%K -0.368%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
LeoVegas1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:48
Grosvenor1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:42
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Casumo1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Unibet (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
ATG (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Bally Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:50
betPARX1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Svenska Spel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 15:49
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
Neds1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
PointsBet (AU)1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-29 15:47
BetMGM1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-29 15:49
Coral1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 15:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.88%E -6.68%K -43.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -3.48%E -0.791%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 15:50
DraftKings1.21I 82.64%NM 78.35%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 21.65%EV -3.92%E -0.895%K -1.16%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 15:48
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 15:50
Fliff1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.10%E -5.97%K -37.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -4.58%E -1.05%K -1.37%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 15:39
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.02%E -1.16%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-29 15:49
Betr (AU)1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.67%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 15:48
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-29 15:44
LiveScore Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Virgin Bet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.54%E -4.58%K -26.39%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-29 15:49
Winamax (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -6.77%E -1.59%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-29 15:50
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-29 15:49
Everygame1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -7.87%E -1.87%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 15:46
1xBet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.91%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.09%EV -9.40%E -2.28%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 15:49
Coolbet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -2.42%E -1.94%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -10.06%E -2.45%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-29 15:50
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.20%E -2.58%K -13.34%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-29 15:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Betsson1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:50
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:49
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-29 15:44
Bet Victor1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.32%E -5.27%K -31.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.25%E -3.06%K -4.08%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-29 15:39
Betclic (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.94%EV -4.76%E -3.90%K -21.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -15.55%E -4.04%K -5.45%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-29 15:46
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Matchbook1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-05-29 15:50
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87%1.1%2026-05-29 15:50
Smarkets1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-05-29 15:50