Language:English
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Prediction 12.98%7.70fair odd
EV +10.36%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.143%
assuming max odds 8.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.18%13.02%13.31%15.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.297.008.5016.67%13.72%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 87.02%1.15fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -1.48%
Kelly -12.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.39%86.98%86.69%88.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.081.1394.34%92.21%92.59%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 12.98%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 87.02%. For Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.70. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.36%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.143% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +6.47%E +0.789%K +0.898%G +0.058% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 7.98I 12.53%NM 12.40%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.517%G +0.019% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.60%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +0.623%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +0.494%E +0.064%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -0.935%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -9.76%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 11:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 19:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Novig◎ | 8.33I 12.00%NM 10.72% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 89.28% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 11:08 |