La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)
Predicción 12.98%7.70momio equitativo
EV +10.36%
Ventaja +1.22%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.143%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 8.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
11.18%13.02%13.31%15.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.297.008.5016.67%13.72%14.29%11.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 87.02%1.15momio equitativo
EV -1.67%
Ventaja -1.48%
Kelly -12.86%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.13
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.39%86.98%86.69%88.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.061.081.081.1394.34%92.21%92.59%88.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.36%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.143% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 09:08 |
| BetOnline.ag | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +6.47%E +0.789%K +0.898%G +0.058% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| Betway | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetRivers | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 07:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| Casumo | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 07:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| TABtouch | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:04 |
| GTbets | 7.98I 12.53%NM 12.40%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.517%G +0.019% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.60%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 1.0% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| DraftKings | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +0.623%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| Pinnacle | 7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +0.494%E +0.064%K +0.073%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-25 10:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| BetAnything | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 10:59 |
| 1xBet | 7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -0.935%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 11:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Right | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 05:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 07:50 |
| William Hill | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-22 19:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:05 |
| Paddy Power | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bovada | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Neds | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| Fanatics | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Coolbet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| PlayUp | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 08:00 |
| Betsson | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Unibet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| betPARX | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| 888sport | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bet Victor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| Caesars | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
| 888sport (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Grosvenor | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| LiveScore Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Bally Bet | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Fliff | 6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -9.76%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| NordicBet | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| BetMGM | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 11:08 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Everygame | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 19:09 |
| TAB | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-25 11:09 |
| theScore Bet | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Coral | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91% | 1.1% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17% | 1.7% | 2026-05-25 11:10 |
| Novig | 8.33I 12.00%NM 10.72% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 89.28% | 12.0% | 2026-05-25 11:08 |