L’École des cotes

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rafael Jodar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 11:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Prévision 12.98%7.70cote équitable
EV +10.36%
Avantage +1.22%
Kelly +1.38%
Croissance +0.143%

avec la cote maximale 8.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
11.18%13.02%13.31%15.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
6.007.297.008.5016.67%13.72%14.29%11.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)

Prévision 87.02%1.15cote équitable
EV -1.67%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -12.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.13

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.39%86.98%86.69%88.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.061.081.081.1394.34%92.21%92.59%88.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.36%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.143%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 09:08
BetOnline.ag8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 08:00
LowVig.ag8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 08:00
Codere (IT)8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +6.47%E +0.789%K +0.898%G +0.058%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Betway8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:10
BetRivers8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 07:50
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 07:50
Casumo8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:40
Svenska Spel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (SE)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
TABtouch8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:04
GTbets7.98I 12.53%NM 12.40%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.517%G +0.019%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.60%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.0%2026-05-25 10:59
DraftKings7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 11:10
MyBookie.ag7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:10
NetBet (FR)7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +0.623%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
Pinnacle7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +0.494%E +0.064%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 10:30
Marathon Bet7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 10:59
BetAnything7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 10:59
1xBet7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -0.935%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 05:30
Unibet (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 07:50
William Hill7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 19:20
Betr (AU)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:05
Paddy Power7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Neds7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Fanatics7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Coolbet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:10
PlayUp7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 08:00
Betsson7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (NL)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Hard Rock Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
betPARX7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
PointsBet (AU)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:09
Caesars7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 10:46
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Grosvenor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
LiveScore Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Virgin Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Bally Bet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Fliff6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -9.76%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:10
NordicBet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:10
BetMGM6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:10
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 11:08
Ladbrokes (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Everygame6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 19:09
TAB6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 11:09
theScore Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:10
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-05-25 11:10
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%1.1%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%1.1%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Novig8.33I 12.00%NM 10.72%1.00I 100.00%NM 89.28%12.0%2026-05-25 11:08