Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic v Rafael Jodar

Início: 2026-05-25 11:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local)

Previsão 12.98%7.70odd justa
EV +10.36%
Vantagem +1.22%
Kelly +1.38%
Crescimento +0.143%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.18%13.02%13.31%15.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.007.297.008.5016.67%13.72%14.29%11.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Rafael Jodar (Visitante)

Previsão 87.02%1.15odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -1.48%
Kelly -12.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.13

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.39%86.98%86.69%88.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.081.081.1394.34%92.21%92.59%88.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local): 12.98%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 87.02%. Para Aleksandar Kovacevic (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 7.70. 18 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +10.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +10.36%E +1.22%K +1.38%G +0.143%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 09:08
BetOnline.ag🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 08:00
LowVig.ag🎯8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV +10.23%E +1.21%K +1.37%G +0.140%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 08:00
Codere (IT)🎯8.20I 12.20%NM 11.73%EV +6.47%E +0.789%K +0.898%G +0.058%1.09I 91.74%NM 88.27%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-25 09:10
Betway🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 11:10
BetRivers🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 07:50
LeoVegas🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 07:50
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
FanDuel🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
TABtouch🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +3.87%E +0.484%K +0.553%G +0.021%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:04
GTbets🎯7.98I 12.53%NM 12.40%EV +3.61%E +0.452%K +0.517%G +0.019%1.13I 88.50%NM 87.60%EV -1.67%E -1.48%K -12.86%G +0.000%1.0%2026-05-25 10:59
DraftKings🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-25 11:10
MyBookie.ag🎯7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV +1.27%E +0.163%K +0.187%G +0.002%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 09:10
NetBet (FR)🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.13%EV +0.623%E +0.080%K +0.092%G +0.001%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.87%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 10:59
Pinnacle🎯7.74I 12.92%NM 12.44%EV +0.494%E +0.064%K +0.073%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.56%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-25 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 10:59
BetAnything🎯7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -0.026%E -0.003%K -0.004%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 10:59
1xBet🎯7.63I 13.11%NM 12.50%EV -0.935%E -0.123%K -0.141%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.50%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 11:00
Unibet (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Right🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 05:30
Unibet (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 07:50
William Hill🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-22 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:05
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -2.62%E -0.350%K -0.403%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Bovada🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-25 11:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-23 19:19
Fanatics🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:10
Coolbet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-25 11:10
PlayUp🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 08:00
Betsson🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
betPARX🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 11:10
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:09
Caesars🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-23 10:46
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-25 11:10
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Bally Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Tipico (DE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -9.11%E -1.30%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Fliff🎯6.95I 14.39%NM 13.23%EV -9.76%E -1.40%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 86.77%EV -7.76%E -7.32%K -129.38%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-25 11:10
NordicBet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 11:10
BetMGM🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 11:10
Betclic (FR)🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -12.36%E -1.83%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -6.89%E -6.44%K -98.46%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 11:08
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Everygame🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -4.28%E -3.89%K -42.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 19:09
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -15.61%E -2.40%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-25 11:09
theScore Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -3.41%E -3.07%K -31.02%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-25 11:10
Winamax (DE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -5.15%E -4.73%K -57.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.25%EV -22.10%E -3.68%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -6.02%E -5.58%K -75.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-25 11:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook9.60I 10.42%NM 10.36%1.11I 90.09%NM 89.64%0.5%2026-05-25 11:10
Smarkets8.80I 11.36%NM 11.29%1.12I 89.29%NM 88.71%0.6%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%1.1%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)9.80I 10.20%NM 10.09%1.10I 90.91%NM 89.91%1.1%2026-05-25 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.83%1.09I 91.74%NM 90.17%1.7%2026-05-25 11:10
Novig8.33I 12.00%NM 10.72%1.00I 100.00%NM 89.28%12.0%2026-05-25 11:08