Language:English
Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Vacherot
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Prediction 64.53%1.55fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.825%
Kelly -2.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.03%64.53%64.54%66.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.471.461.5369.44%68.15%68.49%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Valentin Vacherot (Visit)
Prediction 35.47%2.82fair odd
EV +1.08%
Edge +0.378%
Kelly +0.582%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.87%35.47%35.46%37.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.672.702.8540.49%37.39%37.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Tabilo (Local): 64.53%; Valentin Vacherot (Visit): 35.47%. For Valentin Vacherot (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.08%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +1.08%E +0.378%K +0.582%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-05-27 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.696%E -0.249%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 13:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.41%E -0.506%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:58 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 18:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.60%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:16 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 20:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 06:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 12:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 18:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.26%E -0.825%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -12.40%E -5.02%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-26 17:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 20:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.21I 82.64%NM 69.05% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95% | 19.7% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |