L’École des cotes

Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Vacherot

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Local)

Prévision 64.53%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.26%
Avantage -0.825%
Kelly -2.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.03%64.53%64.54%66.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.471.461.5369.44%68.15%68.49%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Valentin Vacherot (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.47%2.82cote équitable
EV +1.08%
Avantage +0.378%
Kelly +0.582%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.87%35.47%35.46%37.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.472.672.702.8540.49%37.39%37.04%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +1.08%E +0.378%K +0.582%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-27 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.696%E -0.249%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:39
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.41%E -0.506%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 16:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:58
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 11:49
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 20:09
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 11:50
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:00
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:50
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.60%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:50
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 16:19
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:16
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 20:00
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 20:39
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 06:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:59
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:49
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 11:50
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 11:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 19:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 19:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:49
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 08:50
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:48
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 12:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 19:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 18:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.26%E -0.825%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -12.40%E -5.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-26 17:53
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-27 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%2.5%2026-05-27 20:30
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 69.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%19.7%2026-05-27 20:40