La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Vacherot
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Tabilo (Local)
Predicción 64.53%1.55momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.825%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.03%64.53%64.54%66.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.471.461.5369.44%68.15%68.49%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Valentin Vacherot (Visitante)
Predicción 35.47%2.82momio equitativo
EV +1.08%
Ventaja +0.378%
Kelly +0.582%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.85
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.87%35.47%35.46%37.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.472.672.702.8540.49%37.39%37.04%35.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +1.08%E +0.378%K +0.582%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-05-27 13:40 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.696%E -0.249%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 13:39 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.41%E -0.506%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 16:00 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 11:58 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| Coolbet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| BetAnything | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 18:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Betsson | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:09 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Casumo | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Unibet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Bally Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| betPARX | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 14:30 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:00 |
| DraftKings | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.60%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 16:19 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-27 14:16 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 20:39 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 06:20 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 14:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 15:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 16:10 |
| TAB | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| GTbets | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:50 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-27 11:49 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 08:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 18:39 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 15:00 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:48 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-27 12:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-26 19:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-26 18:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.26%E -0.825%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -12.40%E -5.02%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-26 17:53 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94% | 0.1% | 2026-05-27 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13% | 1.0% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |
| Novig | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26% | 2.5% | 2026-05-27 20:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.21I 82.64%NM 69.05% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95% | 19.7% | 2026-05-27 20:40 |