La scuola delle quote

Alejandro Tabilo v Valentin Vacherot

Inizio: 2026-05-28 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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63 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alejandro Tabilo (Casa)

Previsione 64.53%1.55quota equa
EV -1.26%
Vantaggio -0.825%
Kelly -2.38%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.03%64.53%64.54%66.13%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.471.461.5369.44%68.15%68.49%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Valentin Vacherot (Trasferta)

Previsione 35.47%2.82quota equa
EV +1.08%
Vantaggio +0.378%
Kelly +0.582%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.85

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
33.87%35.47%35.46%37.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.472.672.702.8540.49%37.39%37.04%35.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (63 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49%NM 66.13%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.87%EV +1.08%E +0.378%K +0.582%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-27 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.696%E -0.249%K -0.387%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 13:39
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.80%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.20%EV -1.41%E -0.506%K -0.790%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-27 16:00
1xBet1.51I 66.23%NM 64.55%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.45%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-27 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:50
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 11:58
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 11:49
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 11:50
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.47%E -0.898%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:00
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.98%EV -1.91%E -1.26%K -3.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.02%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-27 20:09
BetAnything1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 11:50
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 18:00
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 16:10
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 14:30
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 14:29
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:09
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 11:50
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Casumo1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:29
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 14:30
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.24%E -1.57%K -2.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:00
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 64.82%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.18%EV -4.60%E -1.71%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 13:50
FanDuel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 13:50
MyBookie.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -4.95%E -1.85%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 16:19
SportsBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-27 14:16
Marathon Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.31%E -1.99%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 20:00
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 20:39
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.20%E -2.13%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 06:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 14:59
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 15:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:50
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 11:49
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 16:10
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 16:10
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.78%E -3.96%K -12.56%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 11:50
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 11:49
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 63.61%EV -2.55%E -1.69%K -5.01%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.39%EV -6.37%E -2.41%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 19:00
LeoVegas1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.84%E -2.58%K -7.84%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 19:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:50
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-27 11:49
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 08:50
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 18:39
PointsBet (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 15:00
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.49%E -3.03%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:48
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-27 12:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.13%E -3.49%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 19:00
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.43%E -4.43%K -14.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 18:00
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -1.26%E -0.825%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -11.34%E -4.53%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 22:40
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 63.17%EV -7.07%E -4.91%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 36.83%EV -12.40%E -5.02%K -8.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-26 17:53
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-05-27 17:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.87%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.13%1.0%2026-05-27 20:40
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.74%2.69I 37.17%NM 36.26%2.5%2026-05-27 20:30
Smarkets1.21I 82.64%NM 69.05%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.95%19.7%2026-05-27 20:40