Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 40.92%2.44fair odd
EV +0.266%
Edge +0.109%
Kelly +0.183%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.44%40.96%40.99%43.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.28%43.48%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit)
Prediction 59.08%1.69fair odd
EV -0.163%
Edge -0.096%
Kelly -0.236%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.69
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.67%59.04%59.01%61.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.611.621.6965.36%62.07%61.73%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 40.92%; Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visit): 59.08%. For Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.266%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.266%E +0.109%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.62%E -6.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.962%E -0.397%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 08:53 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -9.56%E -4.32%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.163%E -0.096%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.805%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |