A Escola das Odds

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Início: 2026-05-27 09:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

58 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Previsão 40.92%2.44odd justa
EV +0.266%
Vantagem +0.109%
Kelly +0.183%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.44%40.96%40.99%43.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.28%43.48%40.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)

Previsão 59.08%1.69odd justa
EV -0.163%
Vantagem -0.096%
Kelly -0.236%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.69

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.67%59.04%59.01%61.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.621.6965.36%62.07%61.73%59.17%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (58 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.266%E +0.109%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.62%E -6.28%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.962%E -0.397%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 08:59
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:58
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 08:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 09:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 08:53
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 08:58
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 09:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:58
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -9.56%E -4.32%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.163%E -0.096%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.805%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 08:59
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%3.1%2026-05-27 09:00