La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Thiago Agustin Tirante
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 40.92%2.44momio equitativo
EV +0.266%
Ventaja +0.109%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.44%40.96%40.99%43.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.28%43.48%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visitante)
Predicción 59.08%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.163%
Ventaja -0.096%
Kelly -0.236%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.67%59.04%59.01%61.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.611.621.6965.36%62.07%61.73%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.266%E +0.109%K +0.183%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.62%E -6.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.962%E -0.397%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| BetUS | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| FanDuel | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-27 08:53 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bovada | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| SportsBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Everygame | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| DraftKings | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Bet Right | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| GTbets | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Casumo | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Grosvenor | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| TABtouch | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 08:58 |
| Bally Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| betPARX | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| 1xBet | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -9.56%E -4.32%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.163%E -0.096%K -0.236%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.805%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-27 08:59 |
| Fliff | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 0.4% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Smarkets | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.2% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |
| Novig | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37% | 3.1% | 2026-05-27 09:00 |