L’École des cotes

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Thiago Agustin Tirante

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-27 09:05 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Prévision 40.92%2.44cote équitable
EV +0.266%
Avantage +0.109%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.44%40.96%40.99%43.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.302.4545.45%43.28%43.48%40.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Visiteur)

Prévision 59.08%1.69cote équitable
EV -0.163%
Avantage -0.096%
Kelly -0.236%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.69

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.67%59.04%59.01%61.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.611.621.6965.36%62.07%61.73%59.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
TAB2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV +0.266%E +0.109%K +0.183%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.62%E -6.28%K -18.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
BetOnline.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -0.962%E -0.397%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Pinnacle2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-27 08:59
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:58
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-27 08:59
PlayUp2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -1.78%E -0.742%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -8.43%E -5.44%K -15.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.60%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-27 09:00
FanDuel2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.42%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 09:00
LowVig.ag2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-27 08:53
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (UK)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 09:00
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 08:58
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.83%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Codere (IT)2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 09:00
DraftKings2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.24%E -1.81%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
MyBookie.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 41.12%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.88%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-27 09:00
Bet Right2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
GTbets2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-27 08:59
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 09:00
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Virgin Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:59
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
LiveScore Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 08:58
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.71%E -2.27%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -1.94%E -1.17%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 09:00
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-27 08:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.65%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 09:00
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.92%E -3.52%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-27 09:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -9.56%E -4.32%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -0.163%E -0.096%K -0.236%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.34%E -0.805%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:59
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.42%K -9.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 08:59
Fliff2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.97%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.25%E -4.62%K -12.72%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-27 09:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-05-27 09:00
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.2%2026-05-27 09:00
Novig2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%3.1%2026-05-27 09:00