Language:English
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Damir Dzumhur
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Prediction 84.56%1.18fair odd
EV -1.06%
Edge -0.910%
Kelly -6.26%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
80.40%84.24%84.48%86.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.59%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Damir Dzumhur (Visit)
Prediction 15.44%6.48fair odd
EV +9.78%
Edge +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Growth +0.156%
assuming max odds 7.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.71%15.76%15.52%19.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.806.026.007.1120.83%16.61%16.67%14.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local): 84.56%; Damir Dzumhur (Visit): 15.44%. For Damir Dzumhur (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.48. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.11, corresponding to a positive expected value of +9.78%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.29%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.71%EV +9.78%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.156% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.44%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.56%EV +2.37%E +0.357%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.90%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 07:38 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 08:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.18%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.10%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.90%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 05:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 06:47 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.90%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 05:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 06:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 06:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 07:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 05:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |