La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Damir Dzumhur
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)
Predicción 84.56%1.18momio equitativo
EV -1.06%
Ventaja -0.910%
Kelly -6.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.40%84.24%84.48%86.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.59%88.50%85.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Damir Dzumhur (Visitante)
Predicción 15.44%6.48momio equitativo
EV +9.78%
Ventaja +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Crecimiento +0.156%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.11
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.71%15.76%15.52%19.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.806.026.007.1120.83%16.61%16.67%14.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.29%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 7.11I 14.06%NM 13.71%EV +9.78%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.156% | 2.6% | 2026-05-24 08:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083% | 4.5% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021% | 4.2% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.44%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.63I 15.08%NM 14.56%EV +2.37%E +0.357%K +0.420%G +0.010% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.90%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006% | 3.6% | 2026-05-24 07:38 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-24 08:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Paddy Power | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-24 07:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.18%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 08:19 |
| TAB | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betsson | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| NordicBet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Fliff | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 07:49 |
| GTbets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.10%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000% | 6.03I 16.58%NM 15.90%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-24 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Neds | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Bet Right | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 05:10 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 06:47 |
| Betway | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 05:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Everygame | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-23 17:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-24 07:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| Coral | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-24 07:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.90%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 21:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 05:00 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-24 05:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-24 03:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.37%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| 888sport | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 06:40 |
| William Hill | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 07:10 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 06:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-22 07:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 05:09 |
| Caesars | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-23 10:46 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-05-24 08:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-24 08:50 |