L’École des cotes

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Damir Dzumhur

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Local)

Prévision 84.56%1.18cote équitable
EV -1.06%
Avantage -0.910%
Kelly -6.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
80.40%84.24%84.48%86.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.59%88.50%85.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Damir Dzumhur (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.44%6.48cote équitable
EV +9.78%
Avantage +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
Croissance +0.156%

avec la cote maximale 7.11

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.71%15.76%15.52%19.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.806.026.007.1120.83%16.61%16.67%14.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.29%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.71%EV +9.78%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.156%2.6%2026-05-24 08:30
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083%4.5%2026-05-24 08:50
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083%4.5%2026-05-24 08:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021%4.2%2026-05-24 08:10
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021%5.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.44%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.56%EV +2.37%E +0.357%K +0.420%G +0.010%3.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.90%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-24 07:38
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 08:19
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 03:29
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:50
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.18%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 07:39
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:19
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 08:50
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:49
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:49
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.10%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.90%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 05:10
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 06:47
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 05:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:10
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.90%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 21:09
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 06:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 07:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 06:40
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 07:40
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 05:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 10:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-05-24 08:50