مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina v Damir Dzumhur

البداية: 2026-05-24 09:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 84.56%1.18السعر العادل
EV -1.06%
الأفضلية -0.910%
Kelly -6.26%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
80.40%84.24%84.48%86.29%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.131.131.1790.91%88.59%88.50%85.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Damir Dzumhur (الضيف)

التنبؤ 15.44%6.48السعر العادل
EV +9.78%
الأفضلية +1.38%
Kelly +1.60%
النمو +0.156%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.11

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.71%15.76%15.52%19.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.806.026.007.1120.83%16.61%16.67%14.06%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
1xBet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.29%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%7.11I 14.06%NM 13.71%EV +9.78%E +1.38%K +1.60%G +0.156%2.6%2026-05-24 08:30
BetOnline.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083%4.5%2026-05-24 08:50
LowVig.ag1.11I 90.09%NM 86.19%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.93I 14.43%NM 13.81%EV +7.00%E +1.01%K +1.18%G +0.083%4.5%2026-05-24 08:50
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021%4.2%2026-05-24 08:10
BetAnything1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.45%E +0.514%K +0.605%G +0.021%5.0%2026-05-24 08:50
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 85.44%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.63I 15.08%NM 14.56%EV +2.37%E +0.357%K +0.420%G +0.010%3.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betclic (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.38%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.62%EV +1.90%E +0.288%K +0.340%G +0.006%3.6%2026-05-24 07:38
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 85.08%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.92%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-24 08:19
Unibet (UK)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.13I 88.50%NM 85.19%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.81%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-24 07:39
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 03:29
Tipico (DE)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.359%E +0.055%K +0.065%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 07:50
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.99%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.01%EV -1.18%E -0.185%K -0.219%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 07:39
Marathon Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 08:19
TAB1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -6.98%E -6.35%K -69.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -3.50%E -0.560%K -0.667%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 08:50
Betsson1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:40
NordicBet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.42%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 07:39
NetBet (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -4.27%E -0.689%K -0.822%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 84.71%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.29%EV -5.04%E -0.820%K -0.980%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 07:49
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 84.37%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 19:59
MyBookie.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -5.82%E -0.954%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 07:49
GTbets1.14I 87.72%NM 84.10%EV -3.60%E -3.16%K -25.72%G +0.000%6.03I 16.58%NM 15.90%EV -6.90%E -1.14%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-24 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Neds1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 07:39
Bet Right1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 05:10
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:29
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 03:30
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 06:47
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 05:10
Unibet (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 08:10
Everygame1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-23 17:09
Winamax (FR)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
BetMGM1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-24 07:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 07:40
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.14%E -5.53%K -55.80%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.36%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-24 07:40
DraftKings1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -8.90%E -1.51%K -1.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 20:09
theScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 21:09
Betr (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 05:00
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -11.22%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-24 05:00
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.94%K -34.21%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -13.54%E -2.42%K -2.94%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-24 03:30
PlayUp1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.76%E -2.40%K -18.37%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -15.08%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-24 08:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 06:40
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 07:10
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 06:40
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 07:40
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -5.29%E -4.73%K -44.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -22.80%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 05:09
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -1.06%E -0.910%K -6.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -25.89%E -5.39%K -6.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-23 10:46
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Novig1.17I 85.47%NM 84.98%6.62I 15.11%NM 15.02%0.6%2026-05-24 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-05-24 08:10
Smarkets1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-05-24 08:50