Language:English
Quentin Halys v Jack Draper
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Quentin Halys (Local)
Prediction 29.34%3.41fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +1.56%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.121%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.68%29.22%29.36%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.303.353.6033.33%30.32%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jack Draper (Visit)
Prediction 70.66%1.42fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.767%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%70.78%70.64%73.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.331.331.4078.13%75.18%75.19%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Quentin Halys (Local): 29.34%; Jack Draper (Visit): 70.66%. For Quentin Halys (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.41. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV +5.03%E +1.41%K +1.95%G +0.098% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-23 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.68%E +0.767%K +1.07%G +0.029% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-23 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.60%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.55%E -7.46%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-23 16:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.31%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 16:41 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.07%E -0.767%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 10:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-02-23 16:55 |