La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Quentin Halys v Jack Draper
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Quentin Halys (Local)
Predicción 29.34%3.41momio equitativo
EV +5.62%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.16%
Crecimiento +0.121%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.68%29.22%29.36%31.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.303.353.6033.33%30.32%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Jack Draper (Visitante)
Predicción 70.66%1.42momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.767%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.18%70.78%70.64%73.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.331.331.4078.13%75.18%75.19%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Pinnacle | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV +5.03%E +1.41%K +1.95%G +0.098% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-23 17:05 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.68%E +0.767%K +1.07%G +0.029% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-23 16:54 |
| Coral | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.603%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Bet Right | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 17:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Casumo | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| BetRivers | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:24 |
| LeoVegas | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Grosvenor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| TABtouch | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Bally Bet | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| betPARX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-23 16:25 |
| SportsBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.60%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Neds | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.55%E -7.46%K -34.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-23 16:44 |
| GTbets | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.31%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 16:35 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 13:40 |
| BetUS | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 16:15 |
| Fliff | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-23 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Betway | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Bet Victor | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-23 16:41 |
| DraftKings | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-23 16:40 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 16:10 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:55 |
| William Hill | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:54 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:54 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 10:55 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.07%E -0.767%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-23 10:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-02-23 16:55 |