L’École des cotes

Quentin Halys v Jack Draper

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-23 17:20 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Prévision 29.34%3.41cote équitable
EV +5.62%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.16%
Croissance +0.121%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.68%29.22%29.36%31.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.303.353.6033.33%30.32%29.85%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jack Draper (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.66%1.42cote équitable
EV -1.07%
Avantage -0.767%
Kelly -2.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.18%70.78%70.64%73.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.281.331.331.4078.13%75.18%75.19%71.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 17:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV +5.03%E +1.41%K +1.95%G +0.098%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 17:05
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.68%E +0.767%K +1.07%G +0.029%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-23 16:54
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 16:15
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:24
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.60%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:10
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:10
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.55%E -7.46%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 16:44
GTbets3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.31%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:04
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 16:35
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 13:40
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:10
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 16:10
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 16:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 16:41
DraftKings3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 16:40
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:10
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:54
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:54
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.07%E -0.767%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 10:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-02-23 16:55