A Escola das Odds

Quentin Halys v Jack Draper

Início: 2026-02-23 17:20 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

46 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Quentin Halys (Local)

Previsão 29.34%3.41odd justa
EV +5.62%
Vantagem +1.56%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.121%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.68%29.22%29.36%31.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.303.353.6033.33%30.32%29.85%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jack Draper (Visitante)

Previsão 70.66%1.42odd justa
EV -1.07%
Vantagem -0.767%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
68.18%70.78%70.64%73.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.331.331.4078.13%75.18%75.19%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (46 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 17:00
LowVig.ag3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +5.62%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 27.09%EV +5.03%E +1.41%K +1.95%G +0.098%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.91%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-23 17:05
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.68%E +0.767%K +1.07%G +0.029%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-23 16:54
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -0.250%E -0.073%K -0.104%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -1.42%E -0.424%K -0.603%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -6.73%E -5.10%K -21.02%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-23 16:15
1xBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 17:04
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Casumo3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
BetRivers3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:24
LeoVegas3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
TABtouch3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
betPARX3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -1.72%E -0.512%K -0.731%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-23 16:25
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -2.60%E -0.782%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:10
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-23 16:10
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -3.18%E -0.965%K -1.38%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -9.55%E -7.46%K -34.12%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-23 16:44
GTbets3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.36%E -1.34%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.31%E -3.97%K -15.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:04
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 16:35
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 13:40
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 16:15
Fliff3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -4.65%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -7.43%E -5.67%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-23 17:00
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:10
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 16:10
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 16:10
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.02%E -4.53%K -18.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-23 16:10
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.12%E -1.91%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.14%E -6.26%K -27.13%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-23 16:41
DraftKings3.16I 31.65%NM 30.24%EV -7.29%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.76%EV -3.19%E -2.33%K -8.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-23 16:40
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:10
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -7.58%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -4.61%E -3.41%K -13.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 16:10
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:55
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:54
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:54
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -9.05%E -2.92%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -3.90%E -2.87%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 10:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -11.99%E -4.00%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -1.07%E -0.767%K -2.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-23 10:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-02-23 16:55