Language:English
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jiri Lehecka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Prediction 65.15%1.53fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.81%65.10%65.09%66.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.52%68.49%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visit)
Prediction 34.85%2.87fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.734%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.81
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.90%34.91%37.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.702.702.8140.00%37.07%37.04%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 65.15%; Jiri Lehecka (Visit): 34.85%. For Jiri Lehecka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.81, with an expected value of -2.06%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 11:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 06:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.46%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 11:17 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 06:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 11:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.06%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |