L’École des cotes

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jiri Lehecka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 12:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Prévision 65.15%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.81%65.10%65.09%66.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.52%68.49%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jiri Lehecka (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.85%2.87cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -0.734%
Kelly -1.14%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.81

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.73%34.90%34.91%37.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.702.702.8140.00%37.07%37.04%35.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-26 11:50
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 11:03
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 10:05
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.46%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 11:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:17
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:40
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:35
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 09:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 03:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 06:58
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 11:18
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 10:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.06%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:50
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 09:45
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 02:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 11:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-02-26 11:50