A Escola das Odds

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jiri Lehecka

Início: 2026-02-26 12:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Previsão 65.15%1.53odd justa
EV -2.28%
Vantagem -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.81%65.10%65.09%66.27%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.52%68.49%66.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)

Previsão 34.85%2.87odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -0.734%
Kelly -1.14%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.81

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
33.73%34.90%34.91%37.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.702.702.8140.00%37.07%37.04%35.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-26 11:50
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 11:03
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 10:05
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.46%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 11:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:17
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:40
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:35
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 09:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 03:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 06:58
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 11:18
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 10:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.06%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:50
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 09:45
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 02:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 11:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-02-26 11:50