La escuela de los momios

Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jiri Lehecka

Inicio: 2026-02-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)

Predicción 65.15%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%65.10%65.09%66.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.52%68.49%66.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)

Predicción 34.85%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%34.90%34.91%37.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8140.00%37.07%37.04%35.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-02-26 11:50
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-26 11:03
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.5%2026-02-26 10:05
LowVig.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:20
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 06:29
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:28
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-26 06:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-26 11:50
1xBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.46%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-26 11:50
GTbets1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-26 11:50
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:17
BetUS1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 11:40
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:19
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 11:35
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-26 11:19
Winamax (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 09:59
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:19
Virgin Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-26 11:50
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-26 03:00
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 07:29
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-26 06:58
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 11:18
Everygame1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-26 10:39
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.06%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-26 11:50
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-26 11:19
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 09:45
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 02:59
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-26 11:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93%0.2%2026-02-26 11:50