Idioma:Español
Felix Auger-Aliassime v Jiri Lehecka
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Predicción 65.15%1.53momio equitativo
EV -2.28%
Ventaja -1.52%
Kelly -4.56%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.81%65.10%65.09%66.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.461.461.5070.42%68.52%68.49%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Jiri Lehecka (Visitante)
Predicción 34.85%2.87momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.734%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.81
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.73%34.90%34.91%37.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.702.702.8140.00%37.07%37.04%35.59%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local): 65.15%; Jiri Lehecka (Visitante): 34.85%. Para Jiri Lehecka (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.87. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 2.81, con un valor esperado de -2.06%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.77%EV -2.28%E -1.52%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.23%EV -7.99%E -3.03%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-26 11:03 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-02-26 10:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.61%EV -2.93%E -1.97%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.39%EV -5.20%E -1.91%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 06:28 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.58%E -2.42%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-26 06:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.23%E -2.88%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -3.46%E -1.25%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.24%EV -4.89%E -3.35%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.76%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 11:17 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.41%E -0.861%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 11:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.90%E -2.18%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 09:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -5.54%E -3.82%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.11%E -1.12%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 03:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 07:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 06:58 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 11:18 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -6.19%E -4.30%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 10:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -2.06%E -0.734%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 11:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.84%E -4.78%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -7.64%E -2.88%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.15%E -1.51%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 09:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.87%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.13%EV -4.50%E -1.64%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.49%E -5.28%K -17.84%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.38%E -3.61%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 11:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 66.07% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.93% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 11:50 |