Language:English
Fabian Marozsan v Arthur Rinderknech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Prediction 61.49%1.63fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%61.51%61.54%63.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.48%64.10%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Arthur Rinderknech (Visit)
Prediction 38.51%2.60fair odd
EV +0.114%
Edge +0.044%
Kelly +0.071%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.59%38.49%38.46%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.442.432.6043.48%41.07%41.15%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fabian Marozsan (Local): 61.49%; Arthur Rinderknech (Visit): 38.51%. For Arthur Rinderknech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.597. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.600, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.114%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.114%E +0.044%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.656%E -0.254%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 11:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -1.43%E -0.557%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 11:32 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-24 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-24 07:29 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 08:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 05:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 10:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:33 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.61%E -1.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 11:23 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 12:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-24 11:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 07:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |