A Escola das Odds

Fabian Marozsan v Arthur Rinderknech

Início: 2026-02-24 11:40 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Fabian Marozsan (Local)

Previsão 61.49%1.63odd justa
EV -1.61%
Vantagem -1.01%
Kelly -2.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.43%61.51%61.54%63.41%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.48%64.10%62.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)

Previsão 38.51%2.60odd justa
EV +0.114%
Vantagem +0.044%
Kelly +0.071%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.59%38.49%38.46%40.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.442.432.6043.48%41.07%41.15%38.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.114%E +0.044%K +0.071%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 11:24
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.656%E -0.254%K -0.415%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-24 11:24
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -1.43%E -0.557%K -0.914%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 11:19
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 11:32
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 11:25
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-24 07:30
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-24 07:29
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-23 23:49
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-24 08:15
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 05:34
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 11:20
NordicBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 23:50
Betsson1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-23 23:50
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 10:59
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-23 23:50
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-24 11:09
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-23 23:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-24 10:29
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-24 11:19
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-23 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-24 11:33
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-24 11:25
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 10:30
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.61%E -1.01%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-24 08:44
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 08:39
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-24 11:23
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 11:59
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 12:00
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 11:59
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-23 12:00
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-24 11:29
BetMGM1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-24 07:54
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-24 08:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 07:54
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 07:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 07:55
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-24 07:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (1)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76%0.8%2026-02-24 11:34