La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fabian Marozsan v Arthur Rinderknech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fabian Marozsan (Local)
Predicción 61.49%1.63momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -1.01%
Kelly -2.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.43%61.51%61.54%63.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.551.561.6066.67%64.48%64.10%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Arthur Rinderknech (Visitante)
Predicción 38.51%2.60momio equitativo
EV +0.114%
Ventaja +0.044%
Kelly +0.071%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.59%38.49%38.46%40.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.442.432.6043.48%41.07%41.15%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +0.114%E +0.044%K +0.071%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:24 |
| Pinnacle | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.32%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.68%EV -0.656%E -0.254%K -0.415%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-24 11:24 |
| DraftKings | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.75%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.25%EV -1.43%E -0.557%K -0.914%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 11:32 |
| BetUS | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -1.81%E -0.710%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-24 07:30 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -2.58%E -1.02%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-24 07:29 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-23 23:49 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-24 08:15 |
| Caesars | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.74%E -1.49%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 05:34 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.79%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.21%EV -4.12%E -1.66%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 11:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Betsson | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV -5.28%E -2.14%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 10:59 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.30%E -3.44%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-24 11:09 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.66%E -2.31%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-23 23:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-24 10:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -6.05%E -2.48%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-24 11:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| BetRivers | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Unibet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-23 17:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -6.43%E -2.65%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-24 11:33 |
| 1xBet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-24 11:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.32%EV -6.53%E -4.29%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.68%EV -7.20%E -2.99%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -1.61%E -1.01%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 08:39 |
| Fliff | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.91%E -3.86%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -7.59%E -3.16%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-24 11:23 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 11:59 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 12:00 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-23 12:00 |
| Bet Victor | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.34%EV -7.76%E -5.17%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.66%EV -8.36%E -3.51%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-24 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.07%E -2.61%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.51%E -4.05%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-02-24 08:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.45%E -2.20%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 07:55 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -4.68%E -3.02%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -11.44%E -4.97%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-24 07:54 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (1)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.24% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.76% | 0.8% | 2026-02-24 11:34 |