Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli

2026-08-20 19:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Prediction 59.07%1.69fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.807%
Kelly -2.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.58%59.01%59.13%60.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.611.611.6766.67%62.03%62.11%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visit)

Prediction 40.93%2.44fair odd
EV -0.957%
Edge -0.395%
Kelly -0.674%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.42

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.35%40.99%40.87%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.292.4246.51%43.56%43.67%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Tommy Paul (Local): 59.07%; Flavio Cobolli (Visit): 40.93%. For Flavio Cobolli (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.42, with an expected value of -0.957%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.35%E -0.807%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 06:59
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -3.00%E -1.27%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 06:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:14
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 07:09
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 07:14
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -2.53%E -1.53%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -12.01%E -5.58%K -10.44%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 07:14
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.12%E -1.90%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.69%E -2.93%K -5.22%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.41%E -1.45%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 05:39
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 07:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.30%E -2.66%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 04:54
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.78%E -0.740%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 06:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 05:39
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 07:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 05:42
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 06:03
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 07:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.46%E -2.36%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 06:04
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.89%E -3.04%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.59%E -1.09%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 07:09
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 06:04
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.82%E -1.63%K -2.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 06:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 06:03
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 06:03
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.48%E -3.43%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 07:13
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 06:03
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 04:57
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.07%E -3.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 06:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.66%E -4.22%K -11.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.64%E -1.99%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:04
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -0.957%E -0.395%K -0.674%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 01:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.87%E -2.55%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 05:44
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 05:44
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 04:49
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 04:49
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -7.26%E -4.62%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.96%E -4.53%K -8.30%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-20 06:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.78%E -0.740%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 06:04
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.79%EV -7.85%E -5.03%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.21%EV -5.05%E -2.18%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.39%E -7.59%K -22.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.91%E -3.52%K -6.33%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 06:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-20 07:05
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 07:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 07:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 07:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 07:04
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 07:04
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-20 07:05

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