StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC

Endstand: Tommy Paul 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Tommy Paul (Heim)

Prognose 59.02%1.69faire Quote
EV -1.44%
Vorteil -0.862%
Kelly -2.15%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.67

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
56.85%58.95%59.13%60.30%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.89%61.73%59.88%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts)

Prognose 40.98%2.44faire Quote
EV +0.406%
Vorteil +0.166%
Kelly +0.280%
Wachstum +0.001%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.45

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
39.70%41.05%40.87%43.15%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.202.302.302.4545.45%43.54%43.48%40.82%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Tommy Paul (Heim): 59.02%; Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts): 40.98%. Für Flavio Cobolli (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.44. 1 Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 2.45 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +0.406%.

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.406%E +0.166%K +0.280%G +0.001%2.5%2026-08-20 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 17:59
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 17:58
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 17:59
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:05
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 17:59
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 12:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 18:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 04:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 15:30
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 11:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 15:34
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 18:55
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 18:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 18:43
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:45
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-20 18:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 18:50
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-20 18:45