Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli

Início: 2026-08-20 19:00 UTC

Final: Tommy Paul 1–2 Flavio Cobolli

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Previsão 59.02%1.69odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.862%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.85%58.95%59.13%60.30%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.561.621.621.6764.10%61.89%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Previsão 40.98%2.44odd justa
EV +0.406%
Vantagem +0.166%
Kelly +0.280%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.70%41.05%40.87%43.15%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.302.302.4545.45%43.54%43.48%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Tommy Paul (Local): 59.02%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 40.98%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.44. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.45, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +0.406%.

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.20%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.80%EV +0.406%E +0.166%K +0.280%G +0.001%2.5%2026-08-20 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 18:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-20 18:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:34
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.75%E -4.27%K -11.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.64%E -0.685%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:00
FanDuel🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.46%E -1.03%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 17:59
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.71%EV -2.03%E -1.22%K -3.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.29%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.28%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 17:58
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-20 18:00
BetMGM🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:30
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 15:40
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 18:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.69%E -1.57%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 15:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-20 17:59
Betsson🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:00
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:05
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 18:05
SportsBet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.93%E -5.08%K -14.16%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.51%E -1.94%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 17:59
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.52%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.48%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 12:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:59
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 13:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 18:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 18:50
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 18:00
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 18:55
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 04:57
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 15:30
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 11:39
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.74%E -2.50%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Grosvenor🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Casumo🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
TABtouch🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Unibet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Bally Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
betPARX🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.80%E -2.33%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.56%E -2.88%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.62%E -1.59%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 18:50
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 16:29
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 10:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.39%E -2.71%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 18:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.98%E -3.09%K -8.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 18:55
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 15:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 15:34
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 18:55
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.16%E -3.88%K -10.44%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 18:00
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.34%E -4.68%K -12.88%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.79%E -3.46%K -6.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 18:00
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -1.44%E -0.862%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 18:50
Bet Victor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 18:43
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.57%E -3.48%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.84%E -4.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 18:43
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%0.2%2026-08-20 18:45
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-20 18:55
Smarkets◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-08-20 18:50
ProphetX◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-08-20 18:45