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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Tommy Paul v Flavio Cobolli

2026-08-20 19:00 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Tommy Paul (Local)

Predicción 59.03%1.69momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.854%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%58.97%58.97%60.65%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.611.621.6766.67%61.97%61.73%59.88%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Flavio Cobolli (Visitante)

Predicción 40.97%2.44momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.348%
Kelly -0.594%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.35%41.03%41.03%42.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.202.302.282.4245.45%43.56%43.86%41.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Tommy Paul (Local): 59.03%; Flavio Cobolli (Visitante): 40.97%. Para Flavio Cobolli (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.44. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.42, con un valor esperado de -0.843%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 58.25%EV -1.43%E -0.854%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.75%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 06:59
1xBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.89%E -1.22%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-20 06:09
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-20 07:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.61%E -1.58%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:14
FanDuel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.38%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.62%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 08:09
BetRivers🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Grosvenor🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Casumo🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
Unibet (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Unibet (NL)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
PMU (FR)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 08:04
Unibet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
Bally Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
betPARX🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:14
ATG (SE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -3.20%E -1.95%K -5.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -6.58%E -2.89%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-20 07:13
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.79%E -2.32%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 08:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.30%E -1.40%K -2.43%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:44
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 05:39
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 08:09
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 06:04
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 08:09
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:09
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:03
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 07:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 04:54
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.38%E -2.70%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.86%E -4.48%K -8.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 08:04
Fanatics🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.66%E -0.693%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 06:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -2.48%E -1.04%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
DraftKings🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 05:39
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 05:42
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 06:03
Marathon Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -5.35%E -2.32%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 08:05
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 05:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 08:05
SportsBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -4.97%E -3.09%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-20 08:09
Betsson🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 06:04
NordicBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -3.71%E -1.58%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 06:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:05
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:14
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 06:03
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 06:03
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.56%E -3.47%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 08:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 06:03
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 04:57
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.15%E -3.87%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-20 06:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -6.74%E -4.27%K -11.62%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -4.53%E -1.94%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-20 06:04
GTbets🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -0.843%E -0.348%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 01:50
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.76%E -2.50%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 05:44
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 05:44
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 04:49
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.33%E -4.67%K -12.86%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-20 04:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.92%E -5.08%K -14.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -1.66%E -0.693%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 06:04
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -11.46%E -7.64%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -7.81%E -3.47%K -6.25%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-20 06:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.68I 59.52%NM 59.42%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.58%0.2%2026-08-20 08:09
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.66%2.47I 40.49%NM 40.34%0.4%2026-08-20 07:44
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 08:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 08:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.56%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.44%0.5%2026-08-20 08:09
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.9%2026-08-20 08:05

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