Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Arthur Fils

2026-08-21 00:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Prediction 24.79%4.03fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.403%
Kelly +0.533%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.36%24.90%24.75%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.773.754.1030.30%26.55%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Visit)

Prediction 75.21%1.33fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -7.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%75.10%75.25%76.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.06%79.37%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 24.79%; Arthur Fils (Visit): 75.21%. For Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.10, producing a positive expected value of +1.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.65%E +0.403%K +0.533%G +0.009%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 07:09
Pinnacle🎯4.03I 24.81%NM 24.11%EV -0.083%E -0.020%K -0.027%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.89%EV -3.74%E -2.92%K -13.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-20 06:59
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.826%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.74%E -2.92%K -13.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 07:19
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.826%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:36
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.826%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:43
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.826%E -0.207%K -0.275%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.25%E -6.76%K -37.49%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.07%E -0.523%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.07%E -0.523%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.07%E -0.523%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -2.07%E -0.523%K -0.700%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -2.81%E -0.717%K -0.962%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -2.23%E -1.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 07:10
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 07:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.31%E -0.848%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 07:04
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 06:59
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:05
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:03
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:04
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.55%E -1.18%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:19
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 07:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.79%E -1.52%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 04:57
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 07:04
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:04
Casumo🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
Unibet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:19
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.24%E -4.16%K -20.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:09
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 06:42
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 07:04
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.25%E -6.76%K -37.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 07:04
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -7.02%E -1.87%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.25%E -6.76%K -37.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 07:04
Marathon Bet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -7.27%E -1.94%K -2.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-20 07:13
GTbets🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -8.02%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 02:49
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.26%E -2.23%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-20 07:19
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.50%E -2.60%K -3.59%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.74%E -5.44%K -28.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 07:04
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -2.98%E -2.31%K -10.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.49%E -3.53%K -16.62%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 02:49
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:08
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 01:55
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 01:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.99%E -4.79%K -23.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:14
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -10.74%E -2.98%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -6.74%E -5.44%K -28.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-20 07:05
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.46%E -4.19%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.23%E -1.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 06:59
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.23%E -1.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.70%E -4.62%K -6.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.23%E -1.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 01:55
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.18%E -5.51%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.23%E -1.72%K -7.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 07:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%0.3%2026-08-20 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-20 07:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-20 07:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-20 07:09
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-20 07:09
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-08-20 07:04
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-08-20 07:09

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