StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Arthur Fils

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-21 00:41 UTC

Endstand: Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–2 Arthur Fils

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim)

Prognose 25.54%3.92faire Quote
EV +2.15%
Vorteil +0.539%
Kelly +0.718%
Wachstum +0.015%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.00

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.81%25.58%25.60%27.66%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.403.633.604.0029.41%27.55%27.78%25.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Arthur Fils (Auswärts)

Prognose 74.46%1.34faire Quote
EV -2.46%
Vorteil -1.87%
Kelly -7.92%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
72.34%74.42%74.40%76.19%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.251.281.291.3180.00%77.97%77.52%76.34%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim): 25.54%; Arthur Fils (Auswärts): 74.46%. Für Thiago Agustin Tirante (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.92. 5 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 4.00 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +2.15%.

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:36
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:43
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.878%E +0.222%K +0.298%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:39
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +0.367%E +0.093%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
DraftKings🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.44%E -0.639%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 04:57
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 00:19
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:54
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 00:15
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 00:15
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 00:19
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 00:25
GTbets🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 02:49
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:10
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:34
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 16:55
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 17:10
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -7.55%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 15:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 15:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 23:45
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:55
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 17:10
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:14
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 17:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 17:10
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 15:44
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 00:14
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 00:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-08-21 00:25
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-08-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-21 00:20
Novig◎4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%0.3%2026-08-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-21 00:25
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-21 00:25
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-08-21 00:25