Idioma:Español
Thiago Agustin Tirante v Arthur Fils
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)
Predicción 25.54%3.92momio equitativo
EV +2.15%
Ventaja +0.539%
Kelly +0.718%
Crecimiento +0.015%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.81%25.58%25.60%27.66%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.633.604.0029.41%27.55%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Arthur Fils (Visitante)
Predicción 74.46%1.34momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -7.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.34%74.42%74.40%76.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.281.291.3180.00%77.97%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 25.54%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 74.46%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.92. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-20 06:36 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-20 06:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-20 10:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.878%E +0.222%K +0.298%G +0.003% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 06:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +0.367%E +0.093%K +0.125%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-20 23:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-20 07:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.44%E -0.639%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 07:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 04:57 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 15:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 02:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-20 23:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -7.55%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-20 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 19:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-20 02:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 15:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 15:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 16:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 15:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 23:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 15:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 15:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 00:14 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-21 00:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23% | 0.1% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79% | 0.2% | 2026-08-21 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56% | 0.3% | 2026-08-21 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07% | 1.9% | 2026-08-21 00:25 |