Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Arthur Fils

2026-08-21 00:30 UTC — ATP Cincinnati Open

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Predicción 24.84%4.03momio equitativo
EV +1.85%
Ventaja +0.451%
Kelly +0.596%
Crecimiento +0.011%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.36%24.94%24.75%28.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.783.854.1030.30%26.49%25.97%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Predicción 75.16%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.29%
Ventaja -1.76%
Kelly -7.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.74%75.06%75.25%76.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.261.261.3081.97%79.09%79.37%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 24.84%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 75.16%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.03. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +1.85%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV +1.85%E +0.451%K +0.596%G +0.011%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 07:09
Coolbet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.635%E -0.159%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.80%E -2.97%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 07:19
Pinnacle🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%EV -0.635%E -0.159%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%EV -3.80%E -2.97%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-20 07:44
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.635%E -0.159%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:36
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.635%E -0.159%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:43
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.635%E -0.159%K -0.212%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.31%E -6.81%K -37.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 07:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.88%E -0.475%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:39
Betclic (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.88%E -0.475%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
LowVig.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.88%E -0.475%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.88%E -0.475%K -0.636%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 07:04
1xBet🎯3.92I 25.51%NM 24.90%EV -2.62%E -0.669%K -0.898%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.10%EV -2.29%E -1.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-20 07:44
Bovada🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.12%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-20 07:00
Fanatics🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.12%E -0.800%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 07:04
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 06:59
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:05
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:03
theScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:04
BetRivers🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Grosvenor🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:29
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Casumo🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:29
Unibet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 08:04
TABtouch🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Unibet (NL)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
betPARX🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:30
Bally Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.36%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:28
Marathon Bet🎯3.84I 26.04%NM 24.71%EV -4.61%E -1.20%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.29%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:54
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 07:09
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:04
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.60%E -1.47%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 04:57
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 07:54
BetUS🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:04
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 07:49
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.30%E -4.21%K -20.38%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 07:09
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 06:42
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-20 07:04
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.31%E -6.81%K -37.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 07:04
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.85%E -1.83%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.31%E -6.81%K -37.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 07:04
GTbets🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -7.84%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 02:49
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.09%E -2.19%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 01:55
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.80%E -5.49%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 07:30
ReBet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.36%EV -9.33%E -2.56%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.64%EV -6.80%E -5.49%K -28.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 07:04
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.05%E -2.36%K -10.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 06:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.55%E -3.58%K -16.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 02:49
Bet Victor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:08
betano_uk🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 01:55
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 01:55
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.57%E -2.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.05%E -4.84%K -24.21%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 07:14
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -14.30%E -4.14%K -5.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -2.29%E -1.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 07:34
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.29%E -1.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -15.54%E -4.57%K -6.47%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -2.29%E -1.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 01:55
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -18.02%E -5.46%K -7.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -2.29%E -1.76%K -7.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 08:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%0.3%2026-08-20 07:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-08-20 08:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-08-20 07:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-08-20 07:54
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-08-20 07:49
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-08-20 07:54
ProphetX4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-08-20 07:04

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