Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante v Arthur Fils

Início: 2026-08-21 00:41 UTC

Final: Thiago Agustin Tirante 0–2 Arthur Fils

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local)

Previsão 25.54%3.92odd justa
EV +2.15%
Vantagem +0.539%
Kelly +0.718%
Crescimento +0.015%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.81%25.58%25.60%27.66%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.633.604.0029.41%27.55%27.78%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Arthur Fils (Visitante)

Previsão 74.46%1.34odd justa
EV -2.46%
Vantagem -1.87%
Kelly -7.92%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.34%74.42%74.40%76.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.251.281.291.3180.00%77.97%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local): 25.54%; Arthur Fils (Visitante): 74.46%. Para Thiago Agustin Tirante (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.92. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:36
Unibet (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-20 06:43
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +2.15%E +0.539%K +0.718%G +0.015%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-20 10:09
Winamax (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV +0.878%E +0.222%K +0.298%G +0.003%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-20 06:39
Pinnacle🎯3.93I 25.45%NM 24.86%EV +0.367%E +0.093%K +0.125%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.14%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-21 00:20
LowVig.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 23:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.89I 25.71%NM 24.76%EV -0.654%E -0.168%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.24%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-20 23:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 08:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -1.68%E -0.435%K -0.588%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-20 07:49
DraftKings🎯3.82I 26.18%NM 24.95%EV -2.44%E -0.639%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.05%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 00:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 07:09
Caesars🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -2.95%E -0.777%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 04:57
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-21 00:19
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:54
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 00:15
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 00:15
BetAnything🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -4.23%E -1.13%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.18%E -4.90%K -23.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-21 00:19
1xBet🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV -4.49%E -1.20%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-21 00:25
GTbets🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.20%EV -5.25%E -1.42%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.80%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 02:49
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-20 15:45
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:09
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 17:10
ReBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-20 23:34
theScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-20 16:55
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -5.51%E -1.49%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-20 17:10
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -6.78%E -1.86%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-21 00:14
Marathon Bet🎯3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -7.55%E -2.09%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-20 22:00
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:19
888sport🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:15
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 00:14
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 19:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.43%E -4.28%K -20.13%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-20 02:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 15:45
Coral🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.06%E -2.24%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-20 15:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -2.46%E -1.87%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-20 23:45
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 16:55
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 15:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-20 17:10
TAB🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -4.69%E -3.66%K -16.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 00:14
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 17:10
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -10.61%E -3.03%K -4.25%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.92%E -5.54%K -27.69%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 17:10
PlayUp🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
BetRivers🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Grosvenor🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Casumo🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
TABtouch🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Unibet (NL)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
betPARX🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Bally Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:44
ATG (SE)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Svenska Spel🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -11.89%E -3.45%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 23:45
Neds🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 15:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.20%E -2.46%K -10.67%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 15:44
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 00:14
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -13.17%E -3.87%K -5.49%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -3.94%E -3.06%K -13.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 00:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-08-21 00:25
Matchbook◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.77%1.31I 76.34%NM 76.23%0.1%2026-08-21 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%0.2%2026-08-21 00:20
Novig◎4.08I 24.51%NM 24.44%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.56%0.3%2026-08-21 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-21 00:25
ProphetX◎4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-08-21 00:25
Smarkets◎4.10I 24.39%NM 23.93%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.07%1.9%2026-08-21 00:25