Language:English
Taylor Fritz v Christopher O'Connell
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prediction 87.56%1.14fair odd
EV -1.93%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -16.10%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
84.82%87.59%87.51%89.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.081.091.1296.15%92.26%91.74%89.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Christopher O'Connell (Visit)
Prediction 12.44%8.04fair odd
EV +13.20%
Edge +1.45%
Kelly +1.63%
Growth +0.215%
assuming max odds 9.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.52%12.41%12.49%15.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.207.377.229.1016.13%13.56%13.84%10.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Taylor Fritz (Local): 87.56%; Christopher O'Connell (Visit): 12.44%. For Christopher O'Connell (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.04. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.20%.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.20%E +1.45%K +1.63%G +0.215% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +11.95%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +8.22%E +0.945%K +1.07%G +0.088% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.62%E +0.318%K +0.362%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.94%E -8.59%K -223.42%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV +2.00%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.362%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV -0.735%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -8.06%E -7.68%K -161.22%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.19%EV -1.93%E -1.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.81%EV -5.21%E -0.684%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -7.33%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -9.19%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.44%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.57%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -14.17%E -2.05%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:21 |