Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Fritz v Christopher O'Connell

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-20 00:29 UTC

Score final : Taylor Fritz 2–0 Christopher O'Connell

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Prévision 87.56%1.14cote équitable
EV -1.93%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -16.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.82%87.59%87.51%89.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.041.081.091.1296.15%92.26%91.74%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.44%8.04cote équitable
EV +13.20%
Avantage +1.45%
Kelly +1.63%
Croissance +0.215%

avec la cote maximale 9.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.52%12.41%12.49%15.18%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.207.377.229.1016.13%13.56%13.84%10.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 87.56% ; Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur) : 12.44%. Pour Christopher O'Connell (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 8.04. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 9.10, soit une espérance positive de +13.20%.

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.20%E +1.45%K +1.63%G +0.215%4.4%2026-08-20 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +11.95%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.179%3.7%2026-08-19 09:54
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +8.22%E +0.945%K +1.07%G +0.088%4.1%2026-08-20 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.62%E +0.318%K +0.362%G +0.009%3.0%2026-08-19 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.94%E -8.59%K -223.42%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV +2.00%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.006%8.3%2026-08-19 21:40
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.362%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 00:20
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 00:15
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 00:01
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV -0.735%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 22:06
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 00:01
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 00:15
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -8.06%E -7.68%K -161.22%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 00:25
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.19%EV -1.93%E -1.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.81%EV -5.21%E -0.684%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 13:40
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 13:10
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 13:38
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:01
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:01
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -7.33%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -9.19%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 00:24
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.44%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:10
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:15
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:26
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.57%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -14.17%E -2.05%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 06:09
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 00:20
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 18:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-20 00:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:26
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:26
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-20 00:21