Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz v Christopher O'Connell

Início: 2026-08-20 00:29 UTC

Final: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Christopher O'Connell

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Taylor Fritz (Local)

Previsão 87.56%1.14odd justa
EV -1.93%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -16.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
84.82%87.59%87.51%89.48%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.041.081.091.1296.15%92.26%91.74%89.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Christopher O'Connell (Visitante)

Previsão 12.44%8.04odd justa
EV +13.20%
Vantagem +1.45%
Kelly +1.63%
Crescimento +0.215%

pressupondo odds máximas de 9.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
10.52%12.41%12.49%15.18%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
6.207.377.229.1016.13%13.56%13.84%10.99%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Taylor Fritz (Local): 87.56%; Christopher O'Connell (Visitante): 12.44%. Para Christopher O'Connell (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 8.04. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 9.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +13.20%.

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.20%E +1.45%K +1.63%G +0.215%4.4%2026-08-20 00:00
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +11.95%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.179%3.7%2026-08-19 09:54
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +8.22%E +0.945%K +1.07%G +0.088%4.1%2026-08-20 00:20
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.62%E +0.318%K +0.362%G +0.009%3.0%2026-08-19 21:25
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.94%E -8.59%K -223.42%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV +2.00%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.006%8.3%2026-08-19 21:40
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.362%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 00:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 00:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-20 00:20
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-20 00:15
William Hill🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-20 00:01
888sport🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV -0.735%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-19 22:06
Bovada🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-19 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-20 00:01
ReBet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-20 00:15
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-20 00:15
Fliff🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -8.06%E -7.68%K -161.22%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-20 00:25
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 87.19%EV -1.93%E -1.72%K -16.10%G +0.000%7.62I 13.12%NM 12.81%EV -5.21%E -0.684%K -0.788%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-19 13:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 21:36
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-20 00:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 13:40
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-19 13:10
Caesars🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-19 13:38
Sky Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:01
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:01
BetAnything🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -7.33%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -9.19%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-20 00:24
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 00:20
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-20 00:20
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.44%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 21:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-19 21:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Casumo🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
TABtouch🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
BetRivers🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:10
betPARX🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 06:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-19 11:15
betfred_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-19 16:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:15
TAB🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-20 00:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-20 00:26
LeoVegas🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.57%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -14.17%E -2.05%K -2.40%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-20 00:25
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-19 16:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-19 06:09
PlayUp🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-20 00:20
betano_uk🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 18:04
Bet Victor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-19 18:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:25
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-19 16:24
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91%0.7%2026-08-20 00:26
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:01
Smarkets◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:26
Matchbook◎1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52%0.9%2026-08-20 00:26
ProphetX◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-08-20 00:21