Idioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Christopher O'Connell
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 87.56%1.14momio equitativo
EV -1.93%
Ventaja -1.72%
Kelly -16.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.82%87.59%87.51%89.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.041.081.091.1296.15%92.26%91.74%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Christopher O'Connell (Visitante)
Predicción 12.44%8.04momio equitativo
EV +13.20%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +1.63%
Crecimiento +0.215%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.52%12.41%12.49%15.18%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.207.377.229.1016.13%13.56%13.84%10.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Fritz (Local): 87.56%; Christopher O'Connell (Visitante): 12.44%. Para Christopher O'Connell (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 8.04. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 9.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +13.20%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.20%E +1.45%K +1.63%G +0.215% | 4.4% | 2026-08-20 00:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +11.95%E +1.33%K +1.49%G +0.179% | 3.7% | 2026-08-19 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.96%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.70I 11.49%NM 11.04%EV +8.22%E +0.945%K +1.07%G +0.088% | 4.1% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.62%E +0.318%K +0.362%G +0.009% | 3.0% | 2026-08-19 21:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.94%E -8.59%K -223.42%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV +2.00%E +0.244%K +0.278%G +0.006% | 8.3% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -0.362%E -0.045%K -0.052%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.487%E -0.061%K -0.070%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 18:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 87.89%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.98I 12.53%NM 12.11%EV -0.735%E -0.092%K -0.105%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-19 22:06 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.67%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.33%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.60%E -0.464%K -0.533%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.60%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.40%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.70%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.30%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.00%EV -8.06%E -7.68%K -161.22%G +0.000% | 7.70I 12.99%NM 12.00%EV -4.22%E -0.548%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.19%EV -1.93%E -1.72%K -16.10%G +0.000% | 7.62I 13.12%NM 12.81%EV -5.21%E -0.684%K -0.788%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 21:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-19 13:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-19 13:38 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.19%E -6.78%K -119.76%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.71%E -0.894%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.24%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.45I 13.42%NM 12.76%EV -7.33%E -0.984%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 21:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 87.01%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.30I 13.70%NM 12.99%EV -9.19%E -1.26%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-20 00:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.03%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.97%EV -9.82%E -1.35%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.44%E -1.45%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-19 21:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.53%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 7.13I 14.03%NM 13.47%EV -11.31%E -1.59%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-19 21:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.56%E -4.18%K -50.65%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-19 11:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-19 16:15 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -12.93%E -1.85%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.57%EV -6.31%E -5.90%K -90.14%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.43%EV -14.17%E -2.05%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-20 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.21%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.79%EV -16.04%E -2.38%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-19 06:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.68%E -3.35%K -36.83%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-20 00:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.43%E -5.03%K -67.93%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.15%E -2.95%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-19 18:03 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -2.81%E -2.53%K -25.52%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -22.88%E -3.69%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-19 16:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 87.09% | 7.69I 13.00%NM 12.91% | 0.7% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:01 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.48% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 11.52% | 0.9% | 2026-08-20 00:26 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-08-20 00:21 |