语言:简体中文
Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Taylor Fritz (主队)
预测 60.83%1.64公平赔率
EV -0.843%
优势 -0.517%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.63
博彩公司预测分布
58.94%60.85%60.80%61.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.561.561.6366.67%64.13%64.10%61.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
Alex Michelsen (客队)
预测 39.17%2.55公平赔率
EV -2.08%
优势 -0.832%
Kelly -1.39%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.50
博彩公司预测分布
38.25%39.15%39.20%41.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Taylor Fritz (主队)：60.83%；Alex Michelsen (客队)：39.17%。 对于“Taylor Fritz (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.64。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.63，期望值为-0.843%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (64 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -0.843%E -0.517%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.57%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:17 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.39%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 18:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 03:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |