Langue:Français
Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Prévision 60.83%1.64cote équitable
EV -0.843%
Avantage -0.517%
Kelly -1.34%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.63
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.94%60.85%60.80%61.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.561.561.6366.67%64.13%64.10%61.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Alex Michelsen (Visiteur)
Prévision 39.17%2.55cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -0.832%
Kelly -1.39%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.25%39.15%39.20%41.06%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Taylor Fritz (Local) : 60.83% ; Alex Michelsen (Visiteur) : 39.17%. Pour Taylor Fritz (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.63, pour une espérance de -0.843% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -0.843%E -0.517%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.57%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:17 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.39%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 18:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 03:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |