Idioma:Español
Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Taylor Fritz (Local)
Predicción 60.83%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.843%
Ventaja -0.517%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.63
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.94%60.85%60.80%61.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.501.561.561.6366.67%64.13%64.10%61.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Alex Michelsen (Visitante)
Predicción 39.17%2.55momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.39%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.25%39.15%39.20%41.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Taylor Fritz (Local): 60.83%; Alex Michelsen (Visitante): 39.17%. Para Taylor Fritz (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.64. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 1.63, con un valor esperado de -0.843%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -0.843%E -0.517%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.57%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-15 06:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-16 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-16 15:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-16 11:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 18:16 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-16 15:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-16 17:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-16 07:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-16 18:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 09:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-16 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:17 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 17:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-16 18:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-16 14:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 05:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-16 18:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 14:17 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.39%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-16 07:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 17:28 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 06:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 18:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-08-16 18:18 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-16 03:03 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 18:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-08-16 18:20 |