StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz v Alex Michelsen

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-16 18:22 UTC

Endstand: Taylor Fritz 2–0 Alex Michelsen

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Taylor Fritz (Heim)

Prognose 60.83%1.64faire Quote
EV -0.843%
Vorteil -0.517%
Kelly -1.34%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.63

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
58.94%60.85%60.80%61.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.501.561.561.6366.67%64.13%64.10%61.35%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Alex Michelsen (Auswärts)

Prognose 39.17%2.55faire Quote
EV -2.08%
Vorteil -0.832%
Kelly -1.39%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.50

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
38.25%39.15%39.20%41.06%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.252.402.402.5044.44%41.73%41.67%40.00%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Taylor Fritz (Heim): 60.83%; Alex Michelsen (Auswärts): 39.17%. Für Taylor Fritz (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 1.64. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 1.63, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.843%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
GTbets🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -0.843%E -0.517%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -8.35%E -3.57%K -6.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 06:44
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -2.67%E -1.67%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-16 18:19
Coolbet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -2.08%E -0.832%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-16 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 15:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -2.47%E -0.993%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-16 15:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 11:45
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 18:16
BetUS🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -3.28%E -2.06%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 15:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-16 18:19
1xBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-16 18:09
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -3.88%E -2.46%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -9.91%E -4.31%K -7.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-16 17:10
FanDuel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%EV -3.65%E -1.48%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-16 07:54
BetAnything🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.04%E -1.65%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-16 18:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 05:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 18:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 05:44
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 09:59
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-16 06:49
Neds🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.49%E -2.86%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 14:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -4.82%E -1.98%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.21%E -2.15%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-16 17:25
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:20
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:44
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
BetMGM🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:17
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.10%E -3.27%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 05:45
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 17:59
ReBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:19
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:20
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 18:09
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 14:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.46%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.54%EV -7.17%E -3.03%K -5.24%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-16 14:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 05:45
LeoVegas🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.71%E -3.68%K -10.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 18:13
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -3.26%E -1.32%K -2.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:20
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.00%E -2.50%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 14:17
SportsBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.97%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.39%E -2.67%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 07:55
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 17:29
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:19
betano_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 17:28
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:19
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 06:49
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 06:45
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.78%E -2.85%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 18:19
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -6.93%E -4.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -11.87%E -5.28%K -9.50%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-16 18:18
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.53%E -4.96%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 03:03
Betclic (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.75%E -5.83%K -17.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -7.96%E -3.39%K -5.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 18:15
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-08-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-16 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-16 18:20
Matchbook◎1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-08-16 18:20
Smarkets◎1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%2.1%2026-08-16 18:20
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-08-16 18:20